Gameweek 3 Last Man Standing Picks

The Strongest Picks

Confidence ratings are editorial judgement, not calibrated win probabilities

1. 1

   

   Man City (H)

   vs Coventry

   5/5 confidence

   safe risk

   Coventry have lost both and not scored. City put four past Palace on Friday. This is the one you still have if you burned Arsenal and Liverpool, and a team used now cannot be used again so spend it here

2. 2

   

   Newcastle (H)

   vs Bournemouth

   4/5 confidence

   moderate risk

   Two-nil at Spurs without Burn, Bournemouth have one point from City and a home draw. Lunchtime at St James Park is cleaner than the derby on Sunday

3. 3

   

   Brentford (H)

   vs Sunderland

   3/5 confidence

   moderate risk

   Beat Spurs 3-0 then drew at Leeds. Home to a side that needed a 75th-minute winner against Fulham is a quieter spend than Arsenal v Chelsea

4. 4

   

   Hull City (H)

   vs Aston Villa

   3/5 confidence

   moderate risk

   Two from two, including United on opening day. Villa have lost both and shipped five. This is how you save City if you still have them

This Week's Fixtures

• 

  Ipswich

  vs

  

  Liverpool

  4 Sep, 20:00hard difficulty

  Liverpool have drawn 2-2 twice, Friday night at Portman Road is not the reset

• 

  Newcastle

  vs

  

  Bournemouth

  5 Sep, 12:30easy difficulty

  Won 2-0 at Spurs, Burn still out, Bournemouth have one point

• 

  Brentford

  vs

  

  Sunderland

  5 Sep, 15:00medium difficulty

  Brentford unbeaten, Sunderland nicked Fulham late last week

• 

  Brighton

  vs

  

  Leeds

  5 Sep, 15:00hard difficulty

  Brighton lost 4-3 at Chelsea after the Tromso Thursday, Leeds unbeaten

• 

  Fulham

  vs

  

  Crystal Palace

  5 Sep, 15:00hard difficulty

  Both still on zero, draw written through it

• 

  Man City

  vs

  

  Coventry

  5 Sep, 15:00easy difficulty

  City 4-1 at Palace, Coventry have lost both without a goal

• 

  Forest

  vs

  

  Spurs

  5 Sep, 15:00medium difficulty

  Forest took a point at Anfield, Spurs have lost both and scored none

• 

  Hull City

  vs

  

  Aston Villa

  5 Sep, 17:30differential difficulty

  Hull have beaten United and Coventry, Villa have shipped five in two

• 

  Everton

  vs

  

  Man United

  6 Sep, 14:00hard difficulty

  United hit five after Hull, Everton unbeaten at home

• 

  Arsenal

  vs

  

  Chelsea

  6 Sep, 16:30medium difficulty

  Both on six, London derby, Saliba still out

Stay Away From These

• 

  Liverpool

  Two 2-2s already, now Friday away at Ipswich. Last week at Anfield was the miss

• 

  Chelsea

  Away at Arsenal with both on six. London derbies are how last man standing ends in September

• 

  Coventry

  No goals, two losses, now City at home. Stay out

• 

  Spurs

  Lost both, scored none, now Forest at home after they took a point at Anfield

If You've Burned Through the Good Teams

• 

  Forest (H)

  vs Spurs

  3/5 confidence

  risky risk

  Led twice at Anfield last week. Spurs have not scored in two games. A home win here keeps City in the bank

• 

  Leeds (A)

  vs Brighton

  3/5 confidence

  risky risk

  Unbeaten, won at the City Ground in GW1. Brighton played Thursday then lost 4-3 at Chelsea. The eight-goal run does not travel into this

Form Guide (Last 5 Games)

• 

  Man City

  Four-one at Palace, two from two under Maresca

  WDLWW
• 

  Coventry

  Championship winners, two Premier League games, no goals

  WWWLL
• 

  Hull City

  United at home then Coventry away, both wins

  DLWWW
• 

  Aston Villa

  Shipped four at Brighton and lost at home to Arsenal

  DWWLL
• 

  Liverpool

  One win in five league games, two draws to start this season

  DLDDD
• 

  Arsenal

  Five league wins on the bounce, Saka won it at Villa

  WWWWW