Skip to main content
Season 2025/26

Gameweek 33 Last Man Standing Picks

CH
Conor Hutchins·LMS HQ Founder

Honest picks, the teams to stay away from, and a bit of common sense for your survivor pool

Deadline

Saturday, 18th April 2026 at 12:30 BST

The Strongest Picks

1
Newcastle logo
Newcastle (H)

vs Bournemouth

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

St. James' Park against a Bournemouth side that keeps a clean sheet here just 15 per cent of the time. Newcastle won their last outing and Bournemouth tend to draw or frustrate rather than threaten on the road. One of the strongest home picks this week

2
Nottingham Forest logo
Nottingham Forest (H)

vs Burnley

⭐⭐⭐⭐

Burnley sit 19th with four wins, 20 points and a 58-goal leak. Forest at home should have more than enough, even with Elliot Anderson and Murillo listed as doubts. Home favourites in a gentle fixture

3
Aston Villa logo
Aston Villa (H)

vs Sunderland

⭐⭐⭐⭐

Villa have wobbled lately (DWLLL) but they remain fourth on the table and Sunderland have only three away wins all season. Villa Park should settle this, even if it is not the prettiest 90 minutes

4
Brentford logo
Brentford (H)

vs Fulham

⭐⭐⭐⭐

Brentford are unbeaten in five and seventh in the table. Fulham away from Craven Cottage have only five wins on the road. The Saturday lunchtime slot does not spook Thomas Frank's side

This Week's Fixtures

Brentford logo
BrentfordvsFulham
Fulham logo

18 Apr at 12:30

Medium

Brentford unbeaten in five (DDDDW). Early kickoff against a Fulham side that blows hot and cold

Newcastle logo
NewcastlevsBournemouth
Bournemouth logo

18 Apr at 15:00

Easy

Bournemouth keep a clean sheet at St. James' Park only 15 per cent of the time. Strong home form for Newcastle

Leeds logo
LeedsvsWolves
Wolves logo

18 Apr at 15:00

Easy

Wolves rock bottom. Leeds still missing Rodon and Stach at the back, so not a clean cakewalk

Spurs logo
SpursvsBrighton
Brighton logo

18 Apr at 17:30

Hard

Spurs home form is DLLLL. Brighton have won three of four. Swerve this one

Chelsea logo
ChelseavsMan United
Man United logo

18 Apr at 20:00

Hard

Chelsea's defence is in bits (James, Colwill, Chalobah). United erratic too. Too messy for LMS

Everton logo
EvertonvsLiverpool
Liverpool logo

19 Apr at 14:00

Hard

Merseyside derby. Form and logic go out of the window

Nottingham Forest logo
Nottingham ForestvsBurnley
Burnley logo

19 Apr at 14:00

Easy

Burnley have four wins all season. Forest at home, even with Anderson and Murillo as doubts, should handle this

Aston Villa logo
Aston VillavsSunderland
Sunderland logo

19 Apr at 14:00

Easy

Villa recent form is patchy (DWLLL) but they are at Villa Park against a 10th-placed Sunderland side with shaky away returns

Man City logo
Man CityvsArsenal
Arsenal logo

19 Apr at 16:30

Hard

Title decider. Pep has called it a final. Saka out for Arsenal, Dias out for City. No sensible LMS pick here

Crystal Palace logo
Crystal PalacevsWest Ham
West Ham logo

20 Apr at 20:00

Medium

Monday night closer. Palace at Selhurst against a West Ham in the relegation mire

Stay Away From These

Spurs logo
Spurs

DLLLL form and one of the worst home records in the league. Brighton have won three of their last four, so this is a trap

Chelsea logo
Chelsea

LLLWL in the last five and a defence missing Reece James, Colwill and with Chalobah only just returning. Against an erratic United side, anything could happen

Man City logo
Man City

Hosting Arsenal in a title decider with Ruben Dias out. Pep himself called it a final. No place for a survivor pool pick

If You've Burned Through the Good Teams

Leeds logo
Leeds (H)

vs Wolves

Moderate

Wolves are 20th and winless on the road outside of rare flukes. Leeds' own form (WDDLL) and missing defenders stop this being a top pick, but against this opponent at Elland Road, the points are there

Crystal Palace logo
Crystal Palace (H)

vs West Ham

Moderate

Monday night under the lights at Selhurst. Palace are mid-table (WDWLW) and West Ham are deep in the bottom three without a win in four. A punchy differential if you have already used the bigger names

What We're Actually Picking
Newcastle logo

Newcastle

Easy call this week. St. James' Park, a Bournemouth side projected at just 15 per cent to keep a clean sheet here, and Newcastle coming off a win. When the numbers agree with the eye test, you take it

Form Guide (Last 5 Games)

Arsenal logo

Arsenal

Top of the table. Travel to the Etihad without Saka for a title decider

LWWWW
Brentford logo

Brentford

Unbeaten in five. Home fixture against an inconsistent Fulham

DDDDW
Newcastle logo

Newcastle

Rebounded with a win last time out. Derby energy at home vs a weak away Bournemouth

LLWWL
Chelsea logo

Chelsea

One win in five and a defence patched together. Not a safe home pick

LLLWL
Spurs logo

Spurs

No wins in five. Home form is a horror show

LLDLL
Burnley logo

Burnley

Rock bottom for a reason. Forest away should punish them

LLDLL
Aston Villa logo

Aston Villa

Inconsistent, but three home wins in their last five at Villa Park

DWLLL
Ready to Play?

Stop reading and actually play. Join a competition and put these picks to the test.

View Active Competitions

Entry from £20 • Real prizes • Live leaderboards

Key Stats

15%

Bournemouth Clean Sheet Rate

How often Bournemouth keep a clean sheet at St. James' Park. The lowest clean-sheet rate of any away side this gameweek

4W 8D 20L

Burnley Record

Nineteenth in the table with 20 points and 58 goals conceded. Easy target for Forest at home

DLLLL

Spurs Home Form

No wins at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in their last five. Brighton arrive in decent shape

6 pts

Title Race Gap

Arsenal lead Man City by six with a game in hand. Their head-to-head in GW33 effectively decides the league

Injury Updates

Bukayo Saka

Arsenal

High Impact

Martin Odegaard

Arsenal

Medium Impact

Ruben Dias

Man City

High Impact

John Stones

Man City

Medium Impact

Reece James

Chelsea

High Impact

Levi Colwill

Chelsea

High Impact

Joe Rodon

Leeds

Medium Impact

Anton Stach

Leeds

Medium Impact

Murillo

Nottingham Forest

Medium Impact

Elliot Anderson

Nottingham Forest

Medium Impact

Cristian Romero

Spurs

High Impact

James Maddison

Spurs

High Impact

Last updated: 18 Apr, 11:34