Season 2025/26
Gameweek 33 Last Man Standing Picks
CH
Honest picks, the teams to stay away from, and a bit of common sense for your survivor pool
Deadline
Saturday, 18th April 2026 at 12:30 BST
The Safe Bets
1
Newcastle (H)
vs Bournemouth
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
St. James' Park against a Bournemouth side whose own clean-sheet odds here sit at 15 per cent. Newcastle won their last outing and Bournemouth tend to draw or frustrate rather than threaten on the road. As close to a banker as this week offers
2
Nottingham Forest (H)
vs Burnley
⭐⭐⭐⭐
Burnley sit 19th with four wins, 20 points and a 58-goal leak. Forest at home should have more than enough, even with Elliot Anderson and Murillo listed as doubts. Home favourites in a gentle fixture
3
Aston Villa (H)
vs Sunderland
⭐⭐⭐⭐
Villa have wobbled lately (DWLLL) but they remain fourth on the table and Sunderland have only three away wins all season. Villa Park should settle this, even if it is not the prettiest 90 minutes
4
Brentford (H)
vs Fulham
⭐⭐⭐⭐
Brentford are unbeaten in five and seventh in the table. Fulham away from Craven Cottage have only five wins on the road. The Saturday lunchtime slot does not spook Thomas Frank's side
This Week's Fixtures
18 Apr at 12:30
Medium
Brentford unbeaten in five (DDDDW). Early kickoff against a Fulham side that blows hot and cold
18 Apr at 15:00
Easy
Bournemouth's clean-sheet odds away at St. James' Park sit at 15 per cent. Home banker territory
18 Apr at 15:00
Easy
Wolves rock bottom. Leeds still missing Rodon and Stach at the back, so not a clean cakewalk
18 Apr at 17:30
Hard
Spurs home form is DLLLL. Brighton have won three of four. Swerve this one
18 Apr at 20:00
Hard
Chelsea's defence is in bits (James, Colwill, Chalobah). United erratic too. Too messy for LMS
19 Apr at 14:00
Hard
Merseyside derby. Form and logic go out of the window
19 Apr at 14:00
Easy
Burnley have four wins all season. Forest at home, even with Anderson and Murillo as doubts, should handle this
19 Apr at 14:00
Easy
Villa recent form is patchy (DWLLL) but they are at Villa Park against a 10th-placed Sunderland side with shaky away returns
19 Apr at 16:30
Hard
Title decider. Pep has called it a final. Saka out for Arsenal, Dias out for City. No sensible LMS pick here
20 Apr at 20:00
Medium
Monday night closer. Palace at Selhurst against a West Ham in the relegation mire
Stay Away From These
Spurs
DLLLL form and one of the worst home records in the league. Brighton have won three of their last four, so this is a trap
Chelsea
LLLWL in the last five and a defence missing Reece James, Colwill and with Chalobah only just returning. Against an erratic United side, anything could happen
Man City
Hosting Arsenal in a title decider with Ruben Dias out. Pep himself called it a final. No place for a survivor pool pick
If You've Burned Through the Good Teams
Leeds (H)
vs Wolves
Moderate
Wolves are 20th and winless on the road outside of rare flukes. Leeds' own form (WDDLL) and missing defenders stop this being a top pick, but against this opponent at Elland Road, the points are there
Crystal Palace (H)
vs West Ham
Moderate
Monday night under the lights at Selhurst. Palace are mid-table (WDWLW) and West Ham are deep in the bottom three without a win in four. A punchy differential if you have already used the bigger names
What We're Actually Picking
Newcastle
Easy call this week. St. James' Park, a Bournemouth side projected at just 15 per cent to keep a clean sheet here, and Newcastle coming off a win. When the numbers agree with the eye test, you take it
Form Guide (Last 5 Games)
Arsenal
Top of the table. Travel to the Etihad without Saka for a title decider
LWWWW
Brentford
Unbeaten in five. Home fixture against an inconsistent Fulham
DDDDW
Newcastle
Rebounded with a win last time out. Derby energy at home vs a weak away Bournemouth
LLWWL
Chelsea
One win in five and a defence patched together. Not a safe home pick
LLLWL
Spurs
No wins in five. Home form is a horror show
LLDLL
Burnley
Rock bottom for a reason. Forest away should punish them
LLDLL
Aston Villa
Inconsistent, but three home wins in their last five at Villa Park
DWLLL
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Key Stats
15%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet Odds
Their chance of keeping Newcastle out at St. James' Park. The lowest clean-sheet projection of any away side this gameweek
4W 8D 20L
Burnley Record
Nineteenth in the table with 20 points and 58 goals conceded. Easy target for Forest at home
DLLLL
Spurs Home Form
No wins at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in their last five. Brighton arrive in decent shape
6 pts
Title Race Gap
Arsenal lead Man City by six with a game in hand. Their head-to-head in GW33 effectively decides the league
Injury Updates
Bukayo Saka
Arsenal
High Impact
Martin Odegaard
Arsenal
Medium Impact
Ruben Dias
Man City
High Impact
John Stones
Man City
Medium Impact
Reece James
Chelsea
High Impact
Levi Colwill
Chelsea
High Impact
Joe Rodon
Leeds
Medium Impact
Anton Stach
Leeds
Medium Impact
Murillo
Nottingham Forest
Medium Impact
Elliot Anderson
Nottingham Forest
Medium Impact
Cristian Romero
Spurs
High Impact
James Maddison
Spurs
High Impact
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Last updated: 18 Apr, 11:34