Premier League Gameweek 11 Last Man Standing Picks

The Strongest Picks

Confidence ratings are editorial judgement, not calibrated win probabilities

1. 1

   

   Arsenal (A)

   vs Newcastle

   4/5 confidence

   moderate risk

   Nine wins from ten, five in a row and only five goals conceded all season. Four of five away games won, including at Anfield. Newcastle have lost their last two at St James' Park. Saka is out and Dowman is banned, and a 17:30 kick-off after the break is never simple

2. 2

   

   Chelsea (H)

   vs Leeds

   3/5 confidence

   moderate risk

   Thirteen goals in five home league games, with the only defeat coming against Spurs. Leeds have scored three times in five away games. The worry is the attack, four goals in their last four league games with Joao Pedro out injured, and the loss at Sunderland

3. 3

   

   Man City (H)

   vs Fulham

   3/5 confidence

   moderate risk

   Four wins from five at home and Fulham have scored three goals on the road all season. Against that, City have lost three league games in a row, have gone eight matches without a clean sheet and Guehi and Gvardiol both came off at half-time at Forest

4. 4

   

   Spurs (H)

   vs Ipswich

   3/5 confidence

   moderate risk

   Spurs have won their last two home league games, 3-1 against Coventry and 2-0 against Palace. Ipswich have conceded 13 away from home and lost three of five. Tel is a serious worry after Leeds, but Maddison, Savio and Bergvall could be back

5. 5

   

   Bournemouth (H)

   vs Forest

   3/5 confidence

   moderate risk

   Four league wins in a row and two clean sheets in the last two at home. Forest have one away win all season. Alex Scott has a thigh injury, and Forest have just beaten City 3-1

This Week's Fixtures

• 

  Man City

  vs

  

  Fulham

  21 Nov, 12:30medium difficulty

  City have lost three league games in a row but won four of five at home, Fulham have won once away and scored three goals on the road

• 

  Bournemouth

  vs

  

  Forest

  21 Nov, 15:00medium difficulty

  Bournemouth have won four league games in a row, Forest beat City 3-1 but have one away win

• 

  Aston Villa

  vs

  

  Sunderland

  21 Nov, 15:00differential difficulty

  Villa have one home league win from five, Sunderland have not won away and have conceded 13 on the road

• 

  Chelsea

  vs

  

  Leeds

  21 Nov, 15:00medium difficulty

  Chelsea have scored 13 in five home games but lost at Sunderland, Leeds have scored three goals in five away games

• 

  Coventry

  vs

  

  Crystal Palace

  21 Nov, 15:00differential difficulty

  17th against 20th, Palace have lost four league games in a row and Mateta is banned

• 

  Spurs

  vs

  

  Ipswich

  21 Nov, 15:00medium difficulty

  Spurs have won their last two home games, Ipswich have conceded 13 away, joint most in the league

• 

  Newcastle

  vs

  

  Arsenal

  21 Nov, 17:30hard difficulty

  Arsenal are six points clear with five league wins in a row, Newcastle have lost their last two at home

• 

  Hull City

  vs

  

  Brighton

  22 Nov, 14:00hard difficulty

  Brighton are second, Hull have not won in eight league games but are unbeaten at home

• 

  Liverpool

  vs

  

  Man United

  22 Nov, 16:30hard difficulty

  Liverpool have won one of five at Anfield, United are 18th and have not won away

• 

  Brentford

  vs

  

  Everton

  23 Nov, 20:00hard difficulty

  Monday night, Brentford have won three of five at home but Igor Thiago is banned, Everton have won their last two

Stay Away From These

• 

  Liverpool

  One win from five at Anfield this season and United come with nothing to lose. Szoboszlai and Gravenberch are doubts. Their away form is far better than their home form

• 

  Man United

  18th, one league win all season and none away from home. Maguire has a back spasm and Sesko is out. Anfield on Sunday afternoon

• 

  Newcastle

  Arsenal visit on Saturday evening and Newcastle have lost their last two home league games, to Villa and Everton. Joelinton is out

• 

  Crystal Palace

  Bottom, four league defeats in a row and 24 goals conceded, the most in the league. Mateta is banned for the trip to Coventry

• 

  Sunderland

  Beat Chelsea, but have lost four of five away and conceded 13 on the road. Xhaka picked up an injury against Chelsea

• 

  Hull City

  No league win in eight and Brighton have scored 26 times this season. Hull have drawn four of five at home, which is why we would not back either side

If You've Burned Through the Good Teams

• 

  Brighton (A)

  vs Hull City

  3/5 confidence

  risky risk

  Second in the table with seven wins from ten, and three away wins including at City. Hull have gone eight league games without a win. Hull have not lost at home though, so this is riskier than the table suggests

• 

  Aston Villa (H)

  vs Sunderland

  2/5 confidence

  risky risk

  Sunderland have not won away and conceded 13 on the road. Villa have one home league win from five and conceded four at Old Trafford last time out, so this is one for the brave

• 

  Coventry (H)

  vs Crystal Palace

  2/5 confidence

  risky risk

  Palace have lost four in a row, sit bottom and are without the banned Mateta. Coventry have won two of five at home, beating Newcastle 4-1 and Sunderland 3-1, but lost the other three

Form Guide (Last 5 Games)

• 

  Arsenal

  Five straight league wins, the latest 1-0 against Hull

  WWWWW
• 

  Brighton

  Beat Brentford 2-0, only one goal conceded in five home games

  WWLWW
• 

  Man City

  Lost 3-1 at Forest for a third straight league defeat

  WWLLL
• 

  Liverpool

  Won 3-1 at Palace, four away wins from five

  LWWLW
• 

  Chelsea

  Lost 1-0 at Sunderland, four league goals in four games

  WWLWL
• 

  Bournemouth

  Four league wins in a row after 2-1 at Ipswich

  LWWWW
• 

  Spurs

  Lost 1-0 at Leeds, won their last two at home

  DWWWL
• 

  Leeds

  Beat Spurs 1-0, unbeaten at home but one away win

  LDDLW
• 

  Man United

  Came from two down twice to draw 4-4 with Villa, still 18th

  DDLLD
• 

  Crystal Palace

  Lost 3-1 at home to Liverpool, bottom of the table

  WLLLL
• 

  Hull City

  Lost 1-0 at Arsenal, no league win since late August

  DLDDL
• 

  Sunderland

  Beat Chelsea 1-0 for their second league win of the season

  LLDLW

Sources and approach

Information checked as of 9 Nov 2026, 13:55 GMT

• Fixture amendments for Premier League matches in November, premierleague.com

  GW11 fixtures and kick-offs in GMT: Man City v Fulham Sat 21 Nov 12:30; Bournemouth v Forest, Villa v Sunderland, Chelsea v Leeds, Coventry v Palace, Spurs v Ipswich Sat 15:00; Newcastle v Arsenal Sat 17:30; Hull v Brighton Sun 22 Nov 14:00; Liverpool v Man Utd Sun 16:30; Brentford v Everton Mon 23 Nov 20:00. First kick-off 12:30 so the deadline is 11:30. GW12 fixtures (Arsenal v Man City, Everton v Liverpool, Forest v Chelsea) used for planning

• All 380 fixtures for 2026/27 Premier League season, premierleague.com

  Cross-check of the GW11 Saturday and Sunday fixtures and kick-off times

• Premier League Scores & Fixtures, November 2026, BBC Sport

  Cross-check of all ten GW11 fixtures and kick-off times, including Brentford v Everton Monday 23 Nov 20:00

• Premier League Table and Standings, BBC Sport (last updated 9 Nov 2026)

  Table after GW10: Arsenal 27 points (W9 L1, 15 scored, 5 conceded), Brighton 22 (26 scored, 7 conceded), Man City 21, Liverpool 18, Chelsea 16, Everton 16, Bournemouth 15, Brentford 14, Leeds 14, Villa 13, Spurs 12, Newcastle 12, Hull 11, Ipswich 11, Fulham 10, Forest 9, Coventry 9, Man United 8 (18th), Sunderland 8, Palace 7 (20th, 24 conceded); last six league results, oldest first, used for the five-game form strings

• Premier League 2026-27 Matchday 10 Round-up, FootRadars

  GW10 results: Everton 3-1 Coventry, Leeds 1-0 Spurs, Fulham 1-1 Newcastle, Arsenal 1-0 Hull, Forest 3-1 Man City, Brighton 2-0 Brentford, Palace 1-3 Liverpool, Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea, Ipswich 1-2 Bournemouth, Man United 4-4 Villa

• Premier League 2026-27 Matchday 9 Round-up, FootRadars

  GW9 results including Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal, Newcastle 0-1 Everton, Man City 0-1 Brighton, Bournemouth 2-0 Leeds, Spurs 2-0 Palace, Chelsea 2-0 Man United; matchday pages 1 to 10 on the same site used to compute every home and away league record quoted

• Premier League Scores & Fixtures, October 2026, BBC Sport

  Cross-check of GW1 to GW9 results (August, September and October pages), all 88 matched the results used for home and away records

• What we learned from Saturday's Premier League matches, premierleague.com

  Forest 3-1 Man City was City's third consecutive league defeat and eighth consecutive match in all competitions without a clean sheet; City conceded inside the first 11 minutes in each of their last three league games; Forest's first home league goals and win of the season

• PL round-up: Brighton beat Bees, Sunderland stun Chelsea, RTE, 8 Nov 2026

  Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea via an Enzo Le Fee penalty, Chelsea's fourth league defeat

• Sunderland shock Chelsea, Liverpool cruise, Dawn (AFP)

  City six points behind Arsenal after three straight league defeats; Forest's first home win of the season; Liverpool 3-1 at Palace

• Squad update: Guehi withdrawn, England Football, 9 Nov 2026

  Marc Guehi withdrawn from the England squad through injury after being substituted at half-time at Forest, Dan Burn called up

• Burn replaces injured Guehi in England squad, BBC Sport

  Guehi's injury is a hip problem and he was scanned to assess its severity

• Guehi, Gvardiol, Semenyo: Man City injury news and return dates after Nottingham Forest defeat, Manchester Evening News

  Gvardiol also had a small issue and came off at half-time at Forest; Semenyo out with a leg injury until December

• England squad: Cole Palmer, Phil Foden and Kobbie Mainoo left out, Sky Sports

  Bournemouth's Alex Scott ruled out of the England squad with a thigh injury; Rashford and Saka injured

• Alonso: We didn't produce enough to deserve to win, Chelsea FC

  Chelsea absentees at Sunderland: Acheampong, Emiliano Martinez, Hato, Gittens, James, Lacroix and Joao Pedro; next game Leeds at home on 21 Nov

• Chelsea FC injury update: Josh Acheampong, Emi Martinez, Joao Pedro latest news and return dates, The Standard

  Joao Pedro has a thigh injury with no set timeframe, Alonso to update before Leeds; Acheampong and Martinez expected back after the break

• Xabi Alonso hits out at Chelsea's creativity, NBC Sports

  Chelsea's attack has struggled since Joao Pedro's thigh injury, which he picked up in training before the Spurs game

• Arsenal injury update: Declan Rice, William Saliba, Bukayo Saka latest return dates, The Standard

  Saka has missed five games with a quad injury and has no return date; Saliba close to a comeback; Rice fine after his substitution against Hull

• Max Dowman misses Liverpool, Hull and Newcastle after Arsenal lose appeal, Yahoo Sports

  Dowman's three-match ban covers the Newcastle game

• Liverpool injury latest and possible return dates after Dominik Szoboszlai update, Liverpool.com, 9 Nov 2026

  Szoboszlai not 100 per cent with a knee problem after Palace; Gravenberch heel problem assessed day to day; Frimpong hamstring; Ekitike Achilles, December at the earliest

• Maguire back spasm leaves Carrick's defence in doubt before Liverpool trip on 22 November, LiveScore (Stretty News)

  Maguire off at half-time against Villa with a back spasm and no return date; United's only league win came in August

• Tottenham injury update: Mathys Tel, James Maddison, Savio latest news and return dates, The Standard

  Tel left Elland Road on crutches with an Achilles area injury, no return date; Maddison, Savio, Tosin and Bergvall in line for Ipswich; Simons and Odobert expected in December

• Crystal Palace news: Which games will Jean-Philippe Mateta miss, BBC Sport

  Mateta banned for three league games: Liverpool, Coventry on 21 Nov and Hull

• Why was Igor Thiago sent off against Brighton, The Independent

  Igor Thiago's three-match ban starts with Everton at home on 23 Nov

• Premier League Injury Table GW11, FPL Cat

  Injury list as of 9 Nov: Xhaka calf doubt, Ballard hamstring, Joelinton out, Sarr groin with a target of 21 Nov, Stach foot doubt, Ferguson ankle, Rashford hip, Shaw, Baleba hamstring, Sesko shin

• Sunderland AFC News on X: Xhaka likely to withdraw from the Switzerland squad, 9 Nov 2026

  Xhaka picked up an injury against Chelsea and was due an MRI scan