Skip to main content

Season 2026/27

Gameweek 4 Last Man Standing Picks

CH
Conor Hutchins·LMS HQ Founder

Honest picks, the teams to stay away from, and a bit of common sense for your survivor pool

Deadline

Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 14:00 BST

The Strongest Picks

Confidence ratings are editorial judgement, not calibrated win probabilities

  1. Liverpool logo

    Liverpool (H)

    vs Fulham

    4/5 confidence

    safe risk

    Fulham have lost all three. Isak scored twice on Friday. Anfield against a side on zero is the cleanest win on the card if you still have them

  2. Arsenal logo

    Arsenal (A)

    vs Sunderland

    4/5 confidence

    moderate risk

    Three from three and a late win against Chelsea. Stadium of Light on Saturday night is not free, but champions away to mid-table is still a use if City and Liverpool are gone

  3. Brighton logo

    Brighton (A)

    vs Coventry

    3/5 confidence

    moderate risk

    Coventry have lost three and not scored. Away at the CBS is how you save Arsenal and Liverpool for later

  4. Chelsea logo

    Chelsea (H)

    vs Hull City

    3/5 confidence

    moderate risk

    Home after the Arsenal loss. Hull have not conceded in three, so this is not automatic, but the Bridge is still the better side of the fixture

This Week's Fixtures

  • Bournemouth logo
    Bournemouth
    vs
    Brentford logo
    Brentford
    12 Sep, 15:00hard difficulty

    Brentford unbeaten in three, Bournemouth took a point at Newcastle

  • Aston Villa logo
    Aston Villa
    vs
    Forest logo
    Forest
    12 Sep, 15:00hard difficulty

    Villa have one point and five conceded, Forest still without a win

  • Chelsea logo
    Chelsea
    vs
    Hull City logo
    Hull City
    12 Sep, 15:00medium difficulty

    Hull unbeaten with three clean sheets, Chelsea lost at Arsenal

  • Crystal Palace logo
    Crystal Palace
    vs
    Ipswich logo
    Ipswich
    12 Sep, 15:00differential difficulty

    Palace won at Fulham last week, Ipswich shipped two to Liverpool

  • Liverpool logo
    Liverpool
    vs
    Fulham logo
    Fulham
    12 Sep, 15:00easy difficulty

    Isak scored twice at Ipswich, Fulham have lost all three

  • Spurs logo
    Spurs
    vs
    Everton logo
    Everton
    12 Sep, 17:30hard difficulty

    Spurs have one point and still barely scoring, Everton unbeaten

  • Sunderland logo
    Sunderland
    vs
    Arsenal logo
    Arsenal
    12 Sep, 20:00easy difficulty

    Arsenal three from three, Saliba still out, Saturday night on Wearside

  • Coventry logo
    Coventry
    vs
    Brighton logo
    Brighton
    13 Sep, 14:00medium difficulty

    Coventry have lost all three without a goal, Brighton drew with Leeds

  • Man United logo
    Man United
    vs
    Man City logo
    Man City
    13 Sep, 16:30hard difficulty

    First derby of the season, City top, United have four points

  • Leeds logo
    Leeds
    vs
    Newcastle logo
    Newcastle
    14 Sep, 20:00hard difficulty

    Monday night, Burn still out for Newcastle, Leeds unbeaten

Stay Away From These

  • Man City logo
    Man City

    Away at Old Trafford in the first derby. Even on nine points this is how last man standing ends

  • Hull City logo
    Hull City

    Unbeaten and clean sheets, now Chelsea away. The run stops here for a lot of people

  • Spurs logo
    Spurs

    One point from three, still not scoring, home to an unbeaten Everton

  • Man United logo
    Man United

    Home derby against City. Draw risk written through it

If You've Burned Through the Good Teams

  • Crystal Palace logo

    Crystal Palace (H)

    vs Ipswich

    3/5 confidence

    risky risk

    Won 3-2 at Fulham last week for a first win. Ipswich just lost at home to Liverpool. A quieter spend than Arsenal on Saturday night

  • Everton logo

    Everton (A)

    vs Spurs

    3/5 confidence

    risky risk

    Unbeaten in three. Spurs have one point and barely score. A quiet away spend if the giants are already used

What We're Actually Picking

Liverpool logo

Liverpool

Fulham are on zero. Isak scored twice on Friday. Anfield against that is the one, and it keeps Arsenal out of a Saturday night away trip

Form Guide (Last 5 Games)

  • Liverpool logo

    Liverpool

    First win of the season at Ipswich after two draws

    LDDDW
  • Fulham logo

    Fulham

    Lost all three this season including 2-3 at home to Palace

    WLLLL
  • Arsenal logo

    Arsenal

    Five league wins on the bounce including Chelsea at home

    WWWWW
  • Man City logo

    Man City

    Three from three, Haaland won it against Coventry

    DLWWW
  • Hull City logo

    Hull City

    United Coventry then a blank against Villa, still unbeaten

    LWWWD
  • Coventry logo

    Coventry

    Championship winners, three Premier League games, no goals

    WWLLL

Sources and approach

Information checked as of